Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJosé
15HR ←11
47R →49
50RBI ←44
5SB →30
.210AVG →.267
Current Season
AustinCategoryJosé
8HR8
30R →32
32RBI ←29
3SB →20
.209AVG →.228
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
José Ramírez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.243 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Austin Riley: 15 HR / 47 R. José Ramírez: 11 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).