Andrew Alvarez
Alvarez is a hold — average skill, no luck either way
His expected ERA sits at 4.21, essentially level with the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for the number to be reliable. The same goes for his expected wOBA allowed: .315, exactly league average. Nothing under the surface points in either direction. He gives up hard contact at a league-average rate and actually keeps barrels down, 6.2% against a league mark of 8.0%. The one soft spot is the walk rate at 10.8%, a couple of points above league, but his strikeouts run slightly high at 24.1% and his whiff and chase rates are right around average. His expected ERA has been creeping up across the sample, though, so the steady line is not trending the helpful way. There is no edge to buy and no warning to sell. Hold. 0 K / 4.03 ERA / 1.36 WHIP is waiver-and-streaming-only; the drop-tier hold means fringe, not a stash.
VS His Norm
- Walk %10.8%—+1.9% ▲vs his ~8.9% career norm
- Strikeout %24.1%—+0.8% ▲vs his ~23.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.21)
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
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