MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Alvarez wins 1 categories (ERA); Chad Patrick wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.2
Chad Patrick
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.7%
Chad Patrick
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
24.1%
Chad Patrick
21.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
Chad Patrick
29.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.7%
Chad Patrick
37.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.2%
Chad Patrick
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.315
Chad Patrick
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.03
Chad Patrick
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.131.43
now 1.28
1.36
Chad Patrick
1.131.43
now 1.20
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4047.60
now 17
0
Chad Patrick
4047.60
now 34
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
0–0
Chad Patrick
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet