MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Camilo Doval
Camilo Doval
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Alvarez wins 1 (WHIP); Camilo Doval wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.2
Camilo Doval
98.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.7%
Camilo Doval
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
24.1%
Camilo Doval
24.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
Camilo Doval
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.7%
Camilo Doval
47.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.2%
Camilo Doval
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.315
Camilo Doval
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.255.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.03
Camilo Doval
3.255.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.55
now 1.28
1.36
Camilo Doval
.9001.55
now 1.03
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4023.80
now 17
0
Camilo Doval
4023.80
now 17
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Camilo Doval
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyCamilo Doval — hold.conf 0.60
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