MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Hogan Harris
Hogan Harris
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Alvarez wins 1 (WHIP); Hogan Harris wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.2
Hogan Harris
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.7%
Hogan Harris
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
24.1%
Hogan Harris
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
Hogan Harris
23.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.7%
Hogan Harris
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.2%
Hogan Harris
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.315
Hogan Harris
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.034.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.03
Hogan Harris
2.034.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.161.71
now 1.28
1.36
Hogan Harris
1.161.71
now 1.59
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4043.40
now 17
0
Hogan Harris
4043.40
now 31
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Hogan Harris
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
BuyHogan Harris — buy.conf 0.71
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