MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Hogan Harris
Hogan Harris
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Hogan Harris wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hogan Harris
95.2
Ryan Watson
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
10.9%
Ryan Watson
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
28.3%
Ryan Watson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
23.9%
Ryan Watson
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hogan Harris
33.7%
Ryan Watson
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hogan Harris
6.9%
Ryan Watson
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hogan Harris
.298
Ryan Watson
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hogan Harris
26.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.72
Ryan Watson
26.45
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.34
WHIPlower is better
Hogan Harris
1.181.71
now 1.59
1.40
Ryan Watson
1.181.71
now 1.46
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hogan Harris
4043.40
now 31
0
Ryan Watson
4043.40
now 29
0
Winshigher is better
Hogan Harris
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Ryan Watson
.0002.80
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyHogan Harris — buy.conf 0.71
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.73
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