MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Herrin
Tim Herrin
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); Tim Herrin wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ryan Watson
94.2
Tim Herrin
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ryan Watson
12.6%
Tim Herrin
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ryan Watson
21.2%
Tim Herrin
22.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ryan Watson
33.4%
Tim Herrin
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ryan Watson
36.6%
Tim Herrin
37.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ryan Watson
9.7%
Tim Herrin
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ryan Watson
.331
Tim Herrin
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ryan Watson
2.516.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.34
Tim Herrin
2.516.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.32
3.82
WHIPlower is better
Ryan Watson
1.171.76
now 1.46
1.30
Tim Herrin
1.171.76
now 1.63
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ryan Watson
4040.60
now 29
0
Tim Herrin
4040.60
now 16
0
Winshigher is better
Ryan Watson
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Tim Herrin
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.73
Hold · leans buyTim Herrin — hold.conf 0.60
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