MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Andrew Alvarez wins 1 (ERA); Ryan Watson wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.2
Ryan Watson
94.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.7%
Ryan Watson
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
24.1%
Ryan Watson
21.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
Ryan Watson
33.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.7%
Ryan Watson
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.2%
Ryan Watson
9.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.315
Ryan Watson
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.495.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.03
Ryan Watson
3.495.88
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
4.34
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.211.53
now 1.28
1.36
Ryan Watson
1.211.53
now 1.46
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4040.60
now 17
0
Ryan Watson
4040.60
now 29
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Ryan Watson
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyan Watson — sell.conf 0.73
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