MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Andrew Alvarez wins 1 (ERA); Cole Winn wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.2
Cole Winn
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
11.7%
Cole Winn
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
24.1%
Cole Winn
22.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.0%
Cole Winn
35.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
40.7%
Cole Winn
43.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.2%
Cole Winn
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.315
Cole Winn
.337
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.475.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.03
Cole Winn
3.475.95
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.47
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.211.52
now 1.28
1.36
Cole Winn
1.211.52
now 1.45
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4032.20
now 17
0
Cole Winn
4032.20
now 23
0
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Cole Winn
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellCole Winn — hold.conf 0.60
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