MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cole Winn wins 1 (WHIP); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cole Winn
95.4
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
14.8%
Elvis Alvarado
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
22.8%
Elvis Alvarado
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cole Winn
35.9%
Elvis Alvarado
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
43.6%
Elvis Alvarado
47.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
6.7%
Elvis Alvarado
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cole Winn
.337
Elvis Alvarado
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cole Winn
2.658.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
4.47
Elvis Alvarado
2.658.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
4.29
WHIPlower is better
Cole Winn
1.082.08
now 1.45
1.30
Elvis Alvarado
1.082.08
now 1.86
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cole Winn
4032.20
now 23
0
Elvis Alvarado
4032.20
now 9
0
Winshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellCole Winn — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighElvis Alvarado — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
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