week 12
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Cole Winn
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.83); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 35ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 2–5SV 1–3
Winn is a hold — league average, nothing driving either way.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 35 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %24.5%—+2.7% ▲vs his ~21.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.83)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed50.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.0%vs his norm —
62 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
62 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.342
lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
94 / 200 TBF
xERA4.83
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.73vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
94 / 200 TBF
ERA5.14
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.04vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
21 / 200 IP
Strikeout %24.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm +2.7% ▲
94 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm +0.0% ▲Walk % is above his ~8.5% norm — expect it to fall.
94 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.322
lg avg .295 ▲+.027vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
62 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 24.5%→22.7%signal35 K — K% 24.5% (signal) tempered to career ~21.8% → projected 22.7% over ~33 remaining…
xERA 4.83noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.83 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 20 IP.
BB% 8.5% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.297 gives a 1.32 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role2-5 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)1-3 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.