Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryRyan
35K ←22
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W →3–8
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
ColeCategoryRyan
23K ←16
5.40ERA →2.89
1.45WHIP →1.39
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Winn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.85)
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.09 is 1.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Winn: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 22 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).