MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 (ERA); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
11.0%
Elvis Alvarado
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.2%
Elvis Alvarado
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.1%
Elvis Alvarado
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
38.0%
Elvis Alvarado
47.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
10.9%
Elvis Alvarado
13.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.321
Elvis Alvarado
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
4.14
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
4.29
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
.9002.15
now 1.13
1.34
Elvis Alvarado
.9002.15
now 1.86
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4030.80
now 22
0
Elvis Alvarado
4030.80
now 9
0
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0002.80
now 1
0–0
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighElvis Alvarado — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
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