MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Austin Warren wins 1 (WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Austin Warren
93.9
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
11.0%
José Alvarado
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.2%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Austin Warren
26.1%
José Alvarado
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
38.0%
José Alvarado
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Austin Warren
10.9%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Austin Warren
.321
José Alvarado
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Austin Warren
27.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.33
4.14
José Alvarado
27.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
WHIPlower is better
Austin Warren
.9002.08
now 1.13
1.34
José Alvarado
.9002.08
now 1.81
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Austin Warren
4036.40
now 22
0
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Austin Warren
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAustin Warren — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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