MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Chad Patrick wins 1 (WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.6
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
12.5%
José Alvarado
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
21.3%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
29.3%
José Alvarado
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
36.9%
José Alvarado
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
6.1%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.313
José Alvarado
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.99
José Alvarado
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
.9602.05
now 1.20
1.35
José Alvarado
.9602.05
now 1.81
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4047.60
now 34
0
José Alvarado
4047.60
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
José Alvarado
.0004.20
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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