MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chad Patrick.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chad Patrick wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); José Alvarado wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
95.2
José Alvarado
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
12.9%
José Alvarado
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
20.8%
José Alvarado
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
31.1%
José Alvarado
34.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
38.0%
José Alvarado
28.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
7.3%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.315
José Alvarado
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
3.98
José Alvarado
26.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
.9602.05
now 1.20
1.33
José Alvarado
.9602.05
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4039.60
now 34
33
José Alvarado
4039.60
now 26
29
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0005.20
now 3
24
José Alvarado
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0004.40
now 2
13
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChad Patrick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.91
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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