MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Antonio Senzatela wins 1 (WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
97.3
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
11.5%
José Alvarado
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
19.0%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
30.7%
José Alvarado
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
40.4%
José Alvarado
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
6.3%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
.311
José Alvarado
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
27.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.30
3.95
José Alvarado
27.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
WHIPlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
.9002.18
now 0.89
1.36
José Alvarado
.9002.18
now 1.81
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
4036.40
now 26
0
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.0007
now 5
0–0
José Alvarado
.0007
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAntonio Senzatela — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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