MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Hogan Harris
Hogan Harris
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Hogan Harris wins 1 (ERA); José Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hogan Harris
95.2
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
10.9%
José Alvarado
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
28.3%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hogan Harris
23.9%
José Alvarado
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hogan Harris
33.7%
José Alvarado
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hogan Harris
6.9%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hogan Harris
.298
José Alvarado
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hogan Harris
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.72
José Alvarado
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
WHIPlower is better
Hogan Harris
1.191.99
now 1.59
1.40
José Alvarado
1.191.99
now 1.81
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hogan Harris
4043.40
now 31
0
José Alvarado
4043.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Hogan Harris
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyHogan Harris — buy.conf 0.71
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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