MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Daniel Lynch IV’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 1 categories (K); Daniel Lynch IV wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
94.9
José Alvarado
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
12.8%
José Alvarado
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
19.0%
José Alvarado
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
30.9%
José Alvarado
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
36.6%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
5.3%
José Alvarado
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
.286
José Alvarado
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
27.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.93
3.69
José Alvarado
27.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.9002.14
now 0.99
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.14
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
4032.60
now 27
20
José Alvarado
4032.60
now 26
21
Winshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.0001.48
now 1
01
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.0002.40
now 1
01
José Alvarado
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDaniel Lynch IV — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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