MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IV
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Daniel Lynch IV wins 1 (WHIP); José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
94.5
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
10.5%
José Alvarado
12.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
16.2%
José Alvarado
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Daniel Lynch IV
29.6%
José Alvarado
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
38.4%
José Alvarado
31.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
6.8%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Daniel Lynch IV
.327
José Alvarado
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
27.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.93
4.27
José Alvarado
27.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.90
WHIPlower is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.9002.14
now 0.99
1.31
José Alvarado
.9002.14
now 1.81
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
4037.80
now 27
0
José Alvarado
4037.80
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Daniel Lynch IV
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighDaniel Lynch IV — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.83
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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