MLB Daily DeltaWeek 10 · June 3, 2026
Engraved portrait of Antonio Senzatela
week 10
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
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Antonio Senzatela

COL·P
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10

Senzatela is a sell-high — luck, not skill, drives the ERA.

Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.

Sell High
high0.95

Drivers

  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.16 is 1.86 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.7%
38.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL93 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed5.4%
5.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.283
.283
lg avg .315 ▼−.032too early to trust
NOISE130 / 200 TBF
xERA3.16
3.16
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.94too early to trust
NOISE130 / 200 TBF
ERA1.30
1.30
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.80too early to trust
NOISE34.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %20.0%
20.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL130 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.7%
7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%too early to trust
NOISE130 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.209
.209
lg avg .295 ▼−.086too early to trust
NOISE93 / 800 BIP