MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Hogan Harris
Hogan Harris
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (WHIP); Hogan Harris wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Hogan Harris
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
15.8%
Hogan Harris
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
27.6%
Hogan Harris
28.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
28.1%
Hogan Harris
23.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
47.1%
Hogan Harris
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
13.2%
Hogan Harris
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.328
Hogan Harris
.298
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
4.29
Hogan Harris
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
1.102.08
now 1.86
1.32
Hogan Harris
1.102.08
now 1.59
1.40

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4043.40
now 9
0
Hogan Harris
4043.40
now 31
0
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Hogan Harris
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighElvis Alvarado — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.89
BuyHogan Harris — buy.conf 0.71
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