week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Didier Fuentes
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.09); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 26ERA 3.69WHIP 1.24W 2–6SV 0
Fuentes is a hold — limited data, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 27 YTD → 26 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %28.2%—+4.3% ▲vs his ~23.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.09)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —
98 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
98 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.275
lg avg .315 ▼−.040vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 200 TBF
xERA3.09
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.01vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 200 TBF
ERA2.65
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.45vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
37.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %28.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+6.2%vs his norm +4.3% ▲
156 / 70 TBF
Walk %7.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm −1.5% ▼Walk % is below his ~9.2% norm — expect it to rise.
156 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.330
lg avg .295 ▲+.035vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
98 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.4%vs his norm —
156 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —
156 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphvs his norm —
664 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 28.2%→25.8%signal26 K — K% 28.2% (signal) tempered to career ~23.9% → projected 25.8% over ~24 remaining…
xERA 3.09noise3.69 ERA — xERA 3.09 (noise) blended 2% skill / 98% league 3.70 at 23 IP.
BB% 7.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 8% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.23 skill WHIP, blended 2%…
run support + role2-6 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.69 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.