MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Pedro Ramírez
213 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekNO CALL

Pedro Ramírez

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
new call as of September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.293 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.59
ROSAVG .270HR 0R 3RBI 3SB 0

Ramírez is a sell — his true skill sits below league.

His expected wOBA is .293, which is .022 below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His contact quality supports the low skill: 88.7 mph average exit velocity and a 5.2% barrel rate, both below league average, with plenty of batted balls to trust. His striking out rate of 18.8% and walk rate of 8.0% are right around league average, so there is no on-base floor to soften the fall. His chase rate of 32.6% against a league average of 28.5% adds another layer of concern. The bat is not creating value, and the trajectory of his expected wOBA is stepping down across the sample. There is no luck story to hide behind. Sell. With 0 HR / 3 R / 3 RBI / 0 SB / .270 AVG, he's a deep-league drag — sell before the counting stats dry up entirely.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.293 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.7 mph
believable since Jul 1988.7 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.3 mphvs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.4%
39.4%*
lg avg 40.0% −0.6%vs his norm —
155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.2%
5.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.8%vs his norm —
155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.293
.293*
lg avg .315 −.022vs his norm —
213 / 160 PA
wOBA.322
.322*
lg avg .315 +.007vs his norm —
213 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.8%
18.8%*
lg avg 22.0% −3.2%vs his norm —
213 / 60 PA
Walk %8.0%
8.0%*
lg avg 8.5% −0.5%vs his norm —
213 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
.309*
lg avg .295 +.014vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league averageexpect it to fall.
155 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.5%
10.5%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.5%vs his norm —
213 / 50 PA
Chase %32.6%
32.6%*
lg avg 28.5% +4.1%vs his norm —
213 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.2%→5.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.2% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.8%.
BABIP 0.309→0.261 regressednoise.270 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.249 (xBA 0.249) → 0.261.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~27 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~27 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 4 G) over ~27 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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