MIN
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy6
- 1
34% K rate with 96 mph heat; .376 BABIP is hiding it
Buyconf 0.80 - 2Buyconf 0.78
- 3
Barrel 11.5% with a 16.3% strikeout rate plays up
Buyconf 0.70 - 4
15.8% barrels, nearly double league, 46.7% hard-hit
Buyconf 0.66 - 5
47% hard-hit with a 12% barrel rate — real power.
Buyconf 0.65 - 6Buyconf 0.64
Buy-Low3
- 1
95.6 mph fastball, .313 xwOBA — the 5.25 ERA is .324 BABIP noise.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
97.3 mph fastball, .275 xwOBA allowed, 0.94 ERA gap
Buy Lowconf 0.88 - 3
BABIP .335 and velo down to 92 — ERA is the mirage.
Buy Lowconf 0.74
Sell-High5
- 1
1.66 ERA masks 3.24 xERA; .233 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 2
3.50 ERA hides a 5.18 xERA and 12.4% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 3
.465 BABIP hiding a .223 xwOBA and 33% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 4
12.3% strikeout rate can't survive a 5.25 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.76 - 5
BABIP .351 masks 3.9% barrels and 34% hard-hit.
Sell Highconf 0.64
Sell5
- 1
ERA 5.65 with a 4.59 xERA — regression won't save him
Sellconf 0.70 - 2
19.9% strikeout rate can't miss bats at this level
Sellconf 0.69 - 3
17% strikeout rate can't support this ERA.
Sellconf 0.68 - 4
xwOBA .276 hides behind .320 — contact won't hold
Sellconf 0.63 - 5
xwOBA .288 sits 27 points below league average
Sellconf 0.60
15 more players · league average or insufficient sample · expand to view
- Anthony BandaON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldwait & see
- Austin MartinON THE 10-DAY ILRFHoldsteady
- Ben RossSSNo Call Yet
- Cole SandsON THE 60-DAY ILPNo Call Yet
- Gabriel GonzalezRFNo Call Yet
- Kody FunderburkPHoldleans buy
- Luke Keaschall2BHoldsteady
- Mick AbelON THE 60-DAY ILPHoldwait & see
- Royce Lewis1BHoldsteady
- Taj BradleyPHoldleans buy
- Tommy NancePHoldleans sell
- Travis AdamsPHoldwait & see
- Trevor LarnachLFHoldleans buy
- Victor CaratiniCHoldsteady
- Walker JenkinsCFNo Call Yet