week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Dean Kremer
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 28, 2026
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.64); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 50ERA 4.10WHIP 1.30W 0–0SV 0
Kremer is a hold — league average with no edge either way.
ROS projects K 16 YTD → 50 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %26.2%—+5.6% ▲vs his ~20.6% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.64)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
88 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
88 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.331
lg avg .315 ▲+.016vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
130 / 200 TBF
xERA4.64
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.54vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
130 / 200 TBF
ERA5.06
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.96vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
32 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm +5.6% ▲
130 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.8%vs his norm −1.6% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.8% norm — expect it to rise.
130 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.256
lg avg .295 ▼−.039vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
88 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Chase %30.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.1%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.2 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−0.8 mphvs his norm —
516 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 26.2%→22.8%signal50 K — K% 26.2% (signal) tempered to career ~20.6% → projected 22.8% over ~39 remaining…
xERA 4.64noise4.10 ERA — xERA 4.64 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 4.10 at 11 IP.
BB% 6.2% + contactnoise1.30 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.291 gives a 1.18 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop50 K ROS, 4.10 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.