week 27
this weekHOLD
last week—
Kendry Rojas
data as of September 30, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.47); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Rojas is a hold — reasonable skill, nothing unstable in either direction.
ROS projects K 14 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.47)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed31.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−8.5%vs his norm —
73 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
73 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.288
lg avg .315 ▼−.027vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 200 TBF
xERA3.47
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.63vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 200 TBF
ERA3.34
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.76vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
29.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %26.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —
130 / 70 TBF
Walk %16.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+8.9%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
130 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
73 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Chase %26.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.0 mphvs his norm —
521 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 26.2%→25.8%signal0 K — K% 26.2% (signal) tempered to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 25.8% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.47noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.47 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 14 IP.
BB% 16.9% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 17% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.67 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.