Is Trevor Larnach a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Trevor Larnach's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

424 PA · week 25

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Trevor Larnach

MIN·LF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.324); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSAVG .244HR 1R 6RBI 4SB 0

Larnach is a hold — league average with a rising floor.

His expected wOBA is .324, nine points above the league average of .315, and he has the plate appearances for that number to be reliable. The skill is real but not loud: his exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate all sit slightly under league average, so there is no contact-quality case that would push this to a buy. What keeps it from a sell is that his expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, and he strikes out 18.4% of the time against a 22% league average, with a 10.1% walk rate above the 8.5% norm. Those are the skills that hold a line together. There is no luck stat inflating or dragging anything here — nothing to buy, nothing to sell. Hold. 1 HR / 6 R / 4 RBI is waiver-wire rotational filler — deep-league streaming-only, no drop urgency but no reason to chase.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.4%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~9.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —

299 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %37.1%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —

299 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm −1.7% ▼

299 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.324

lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —

424 / 160 PA

wOBA.339

lg avg .315 ▲+.024vs his norm —

424 / 200 PA

Strikeout %18.4%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —

424 / 60 PA

Walk %10.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —

424 / 120 PA

BABIP.304

lg avg .295 ▲+.009vs his norm +.006 ▲BABIP is above his ~.298 norm — expect it to fall.

299 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —

424 / 50 PA

Chase %30.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.5%vs his norm —

424 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.4%→8.1%signal1 HR — Barrel% 7.4% (signal) lifted to career ~9.1% → projected 8.1%.

BABIP 0.304→0.303 regressednoise.244 AVG — BABIP 0.304 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.302 (xBA 0.256) → 0.303.

on-base + lineup6 R — his run rate over ~39 projected PA.

slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~39 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 49 G) over ~39 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons