Is Trevor Larnach a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Trevor Larnach's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

291 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Trevor Larnach

MIN·LF

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.342) — BABIP 0.337 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSHR 4AVG .264R 26RBI 17SB 2

Larnach is a hold — league-average skill, nothing to chase.

His expected wOBA is .342, just above the .315 league average, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA (.366) is a bit higher, but that small gap is largely explained by his BABIP (.337 vs. .295 league average). BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to stabilize, and he has 204, so some regression in average is likely. The underlying contact quality is mixed: exit velocity (87.4 mph) and hard-hit rate (35.3%) are below league, while barrel rate (7.4%) is near average. He walks at an above-average clip (11.7%) and strikes out less than league average (17.2%), which gives him a solid floor. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample, but the overall profile is roughly league average with no unstable metric pulling it one way or the other. Hold. 4 HR in the projected line caps the ceiling — a deep-league hold for counting stats.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.4%—−1.7% ▼vs his ~9.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.342)
babipNOISEBABIP 0.337 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.6 mphvs his norm —

204 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %35.3%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.7%vs his norm —

204 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm −1.7% ▼

204 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.342

lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —

291 / 160 PA

wOBA.366

lg avg .315 ▲+.051vs his norm —

291 / 200 PA

Strikeout %17.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.8%vs his norm —

291 / 60 PA

Walk %11.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —

291 / 120 PA

BABIP.337

lg avg .295 ▲+.042vs his norm +.039 ▲BABIP is above his ~.298 norm — expect it to fall.

204 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.0%vs his norm —

291 / 50 PA

Chase %29.3%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

291 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.4%→8.2%signal4 HR — Barrel% 7.4% (signal) lifted to career ~9.1% → projected 8.2%.

BABIP 0.337→0.322 regressednoise.264 AVG — BABIP 0.337 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.317 (xBA 0.267) → 0.322.

on-base + lineup26 R — his run rate over ~174 projected PA.

slugging + lineup17 RBI — his RBI rate over ~174 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 49 G) over ~174 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons