Is Trevor Larnach a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Trevor Larnach's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

433 PA · week 31

this weekHOLD

last weekHOLD

Trevor Larnach

MIN·LF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.327); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Larnach is a hold — the surface runs hot, the skill does not

His expected wOBA is .327, twelve points above the league average of .315, and his 433 plate appearances clear the threshold where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .347, twenty points higher than the skill underneath, so the surface is running hotter than the expected line supports. The contact does not close the gap: 87.7 mph average exit velocity against a league average of 89.0, a 36.7% hard-hit rate against 40.0%, and 7.5% barrels against 8.0% — all a touch under league. What he does well is control the strike zone, with an 18.2% strikeout rate well below league and a 10.4% walk rate above it. His expected wOBA has been stepping up across the sample, which points to modest improvement rather than a spike. There is no luck stat blowing the line up and none dragging it down. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG is a drop-tier stat line — a deep-league hold at best, no fantasy asset.

VS His Norm

Barrel %7.5%—−1.6% ▼vs his ~9.1% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.327)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —

305 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %36.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —

305 / 50 BBE

Barrel %7.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.5%vs his norm −1.6% ▼

305 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.327

lg avg .315 ▲+.012vs his norm —

433 / 160 PA

wOBA.347

lg avg .315 ▲+.032vs his norm —

433 / 200 PA

Strikeout %18.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —

433 / 60 PA

Walk %10.4%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —

433 / 120 PA

BABIP.309

lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.011 ▲BABIP is above his ~.298 norm — expect it to fall.

305 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

433 / 50 PA

Chase %29.7%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —

433 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 7.5%→8.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.5% (signal) lifted to career ~9.1% → projected 8.1%.

BABIP 0.309→0.307 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.306 (xBA 0.259) → 0.307.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 49 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons