148 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Ryan Jeffers
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.389); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 10AVG .245R 49RBI 49SB 2
Jeffers is a hold — solid contact, limited data.
ROS projects HR 7 YTD → 10 ROS, AVG .295 YTD → .245 ROS, R 26 YTD → 49 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %15.8%—+7.5% ▲vs his ~8.3% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.389)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.2 mphvs his norm —
101 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —
101 / 50 BBE
Barrel %15.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.8%vs his norm +7.5% ▲
101 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.389
lg avg .315 ▲+.074vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
148 / 160 PA
wOBA.410
lg avg .315 ▲+.095vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
148 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.5%vs his norm —
148 / 60 PA
Walk %15.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —
148 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.011 ▲BABIP is above his ~.298 norm — expect it to fall.
101 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 15.8%→10.8%signal10 HR — Barrel% 15.8% (signal) tempered to career ~8.3% → projected 10.8%.
BABIP 0.309→0.265 regressednoise.245 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.259 (xBA 0.261) → 0.265.
on-base + lineup49 R — his run rate over ~280 projected PA.
slugging + lineup49 RBI — his RBI rate over ~280 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (1 in 37 G) over ~280 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.