MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Victor Caratini
345 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Victor Caratini

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.319); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .217R 2RBI 5SB 0

Caratini is a hold — near league average, nothing pulling either way

His expected wOBA is .319 against a league average of .315, and with 345 plate appearances his sample is well past the 160 needed to trust the number. His actual wOBA sits at .290, lower than expected, but his strikeout rate of 19.7% is below league average and his walk rate of 9.9% is above it, so the plate discipline is solid. His hard-hit rate of 39.5% and barrel rate of 6.4% are both near league average, though his barrel rate trails it. The xwOBA has been stepping up across the sample. There is no unstable stat driving his line in either direction. This is a league-average hitter performing like one. Hold. With 0 HR / 2 R / 5 RBI / 0 SB and a .217 AVG ROS, this is a deep-league-only hold, not a waiver add.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.4%+0.0%vs his ~6.4% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.319)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
89.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +0.5 mphvs his norm —
233 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.5%
39.5%*
lg avg 40.0% −0.5%vs his norm —
233 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.4%
norm6.4%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.6%vs his norm +0.0%
233 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.319
believable since May 30.319*
lg avg .315 +.004vs his norm —
345 / 160 PA
wOBA.290
.290*
lg avg .315 −.025vs his norm —
345 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.7%
19.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.3%vs his norm —
345 / 60 PA
Walk %9.9%
9.9%*
lg avg 8.5% +1.4%vs his norm —
345 / 120 PA
BABIP.257
norm.257*
lg avg .295 −.038vs his norm −.037 BABIP is below his ~.294 normexpect it to rise.
233 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.9%
8.9%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.1%vs his norm —
345 / 50 PA
Chase %25.1%
25.1%*
lg avg 28.5% −3.4%vs his norm —
345 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.4%→6.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.4% (signal) tempered to career ~6.4% → projected 6.4%.
BABIP 0.257→0.274 regressednoise.217 AVG — BABIP 0.257 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.281 (xBA 0.234) → 0.274.
on-base + lineup2 R — his run rate over ~39 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~39 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 44 G) over ~39 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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