382 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Victor Caratini
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.306); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Caratini is a hold — average skill, and his line is trailing it.
ROS projects HR 2 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .190 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.3%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~6.4% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.306)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.3 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.3 mphvs his norm —
255 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
255 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm −0.1% ▼
255 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —
382 / 160 PA
wOBA.285
lg avg .315 ▼−.030vs his norm —
382 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.1%vs his norm —
382 / 60 PA
Walk %8.9%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
382 / 120 PA
BABIP.262
lg avg .295 ▼−.033vs his norm −.032 ▼BABIP is below his ~.294 norm — expect it to rise.
255 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
382 / 50 PA
Chase %25.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
382 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→6.3%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) held to career ~6.4% → projected 6.3%.
BABIP 0.262→0.266 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.262 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.268 (xBA 0.224) → 0.266.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 44 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.