week 20
this weekSELL-HIGH
last weekSELL-HIGH
Kody Funderburk
data as of August 9, 2026·week 20
Sell High BABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable, flattering the ERA; luck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.87 above the ERA, regression coming; sell into the hype before regression.high 0.90 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 8ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–1SV 0–1
Funderburk is a sell-high — his BABIP-against is the story.
Surface ERA flattered by an unsustainably low BABIP-against; xERA says regression. Sell high.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %17.7%—−3.6% ▼vs his ~21.4% career norm
Drivers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.96 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed27.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−12.7%vs his norm —
99 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed6.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.9%vs his norm —
99 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
147 / 200 TBF
xERA3.96
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.14vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
147 / 200 TBF
ERA3.09
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.01vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
35 / 200 IP
Strikeout %17.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm −3.6% ▼
147 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.6%vs his norm +2.2% ▲Walk % is above his ~11.4% norm — expect it to fall.
147 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.211
lg avg .295 ▼−.084vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
99 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.4%vs his norm —
147 / 60 TBF
Chase %24.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.1%vs his norm —
147 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo92.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.2 mphvs his norm —
569 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 17.7%→19.8%signal8 K — K% 17.7% (signal) lifted to career ~21.4% → projected 19.8% over ~13 remaining IP.
xERA 3.96noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.96 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 18 IP.
BB% 13.6% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 14% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.285 gives a 1.63 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-1 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.