233 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Josh Bell
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Bell is a sell — his xwOBA is below league and declining.
His expected wOBA is .299, about 16 points below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .282, even lower, which means luck is not hiding a better performance. His contact quality metrics — exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate — are all slightly above league, but the overall package is not enough to lift his xwOBA to average. The xwOBA trajectory is stepping down across the sample, which suggests his current level is settling in rather than improving. He walks at a below-average rate and strikes out slightly above league. There is no unlucky story to point at. This is the player he is. Sell.
Sell
med0.58
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %42.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL160 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.299
lg avg .315 ▼−.016trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 160 PA
wOBA.282
lg avg .315 ▼−.033trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL233 / 120 PA
BABIP.277
lg avg .295 ▼−.018too early to trust
NOISE160 / 800 BIP