Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJosh
9HR →13
36R →44
36RBI →51
0SB →2
.314AVG ←.236
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJosh
1HR →5
10R →28
10RBI →32
0SB →1
.354AVG ←.225
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Josh Bell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.304)
Bell leads in HR (13 vs 9) and RBI (51 vs 36); Vaughn's .314 AVG outpaces Bell's .236. The sell-high verdict on Vaughn reflects AVG-driven value likely to regress.