Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryBen
9HR →20
36R →70
36RBI →70
0SB →3
.314AVG ←.270
Current Season
AndrewCategoryBen
1HR →17
10R →44
10RBI →44
0SB →2
.354AVG ←.306
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Vaughn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Andrew Vaughn: 9 HR / 36 R. Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).