Is Ben Rice a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Ben Rice's rest-of-season outlook?

47.6% hard-hit and 15.3% barrel rate, elite contact.

390 PA · week 17

this weekBUY

last weekSELL-HIGH

Ben Rice

NYY·1B

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.73

ROSHR 8AVG .239R 37RBI 37SB 2

Rice is a buy — elite contact justifies the production.

His hard-hit rate has climbed across the sample and now sits at 47.6% — well above the league average of 40.0% and on 248 batted balls, which is past the 50 needed to trust the number. His barrel rate is 15.3%, nearly double the league norm. That elite contact quality drives his xwOBA of .381, .066 above the league average of .315, and the sample of 390 plate appearances is past the stabilization point. His actual wOBA is .408, in line with the skill, so there is no luck inflating the line. The discipline is solid too: a walk rate above league and a chase rate below league. This is a real bat that the underlying metrics fully support. Buy. 8 HR, 37 R, 37 RBI, 2 SB, .239 AVG — count the power-speed combo as a standard-league asset worth acquiring now.

VS His Norm

Barrel %15.3%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~15.4% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.381, +0.066 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo92.1 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.1 mphvs his norm —

248 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %47.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.6%vs his norm —

248 / 50 BBE

Barrel %15.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+7.3%vs his norm −0.1% ▼

248 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.381

lg avg .315 ▲+.066vs his norm —

390 / 160 PA

wOBA.408

lg avg .315 ▲+.093vs his norm —

390 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —

390 / 60 PA

Walk %12.3%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —

390 / 120 PA

BABIP.297

lg avg .295 ▲+.002vs his norm +.045 ▲BABIP is above his ~.252 norm — expect it to fall.

248 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %10.4%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —

390 / 50 PA

Chase %24.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —

390 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 15.3%→15.4%signal8 HR — Barrel% 15.3% (signal) held to career ~15.4% → projected 15.4%.

BABIP 0.297→0.278 regressednoise.239 AVG — BABIP 0.297 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.270 (xBA 0.272) → 0.278.

on-base + lineup37 R — his run rate over ~193 projected PA.

slugging + lineup37 RBI — his RBI rate over ~193 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (2 in 54 G) over ~193 projected PA.

rosterstandard81 R/RBI

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons