Is Ben Rice a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Ben Rice's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .378 backed by 48.6% hard-hit and 14.3% barrels.

667 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekSELL-HIGH

Ben Rice

NYY·DH

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.378, +0.063 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.73

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Rice is a buy — the contact is climbing and the sample is real.

His hard-hit rate is 48.6% against a league average of 40.0%, and it has been stepping up across the sample rather than leveling off. That is the number doing the most work here. His expected wOBA is .378, .063 above league average, on 667 plate appearances — well past the 160 it takes for that figure to become reliable — and his actual wOBA of .384 sits almost right on top of it, so nothing is being propped up by balls falling in. The plate discipline backs it: a 12.7% walk rate and a 24.5% chase rate both better than league. His strikeouts run a touch high, which will cost him some batting average. The power is the point. His contact quality is still trending up. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %14.3%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~15.4% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.378, +0.063 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo91.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —

414 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.6%vs his norm —

414 / 50 BBE

Barrel %14.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm −1.1% ▼

414 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.378

lg avg .315 ▲+.063vs his norm —

667 / 160 PA

wOBA.384

lg avg .315 ▲+.069vs his norm —

667 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.3%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm —

667 / 60 PA

Walk %12.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —

667 / 120 PA

BABIP.295

lg avg .295 .000vs his norm +.043 ▲BABIP is above his ~.252 norm — expect it to fall.

414 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.0%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.0%vs his norm —

667 / 50 PA

Chase %24.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —

667 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 14.3%→14.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 14.3% (signal) lifted to career ~15.4% → projected 14.7%.

BABIP 0.295→0.279 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.295 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.267) → 0.279.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 54 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons