Is Ben Rice a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Ben Rice's rest-of-season outlook?

14.3% barrels and 48.6% hard-hit fuel .376 xwOBA

595 PA · week 25

this weekBUY

last weekSELL-HIGH

Ben Rice

NYY·DH

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026

Buy stable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.72

ROSHR 1AVG .225R 8RBI 8SB 0

Rice is a buy — elite contact and a rising foundation.

His expected wOBA is .376, 61 points above the league average, and his actual wOBA matches it exactly. That match is the whole point: his production is earned, not propped up by balls falling in. His contact quality is doing the heavy lifting and it is still climbing — he is averaging 92 mph off the bat with a 48.6% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrels, each well clear of league, and both the hard-hit and expected-wOBA lines have trended up across the sample rather than leveling off. He has enough plate appearances and batted balls for those numbers to be trustworthy. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %14.3%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~15.4% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.376, +0.061 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo92.0 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphvs his norm —

370 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.6%vs his norm —

370 / 50 BBE

Barrel %14.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+6.3%vs his norm −1.1% ▼

370 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.376

lg avg .315 ▲+.061vs his norm —

595 / 160 PA

wOBA.376

lg avg .315 ▲+.061vs his norm —

595 / 200 PA

Strikeout %24.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+2.7%vs his norm —

595 / 60 PA

Walk %12.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.6%vs his norm —

595 / 120 PA

BABIP.290

lg avg .295 ▼−.005vs his norm +.038 ▲BABIP is above his ~.252 norm — expect it to fall.

370 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.3%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.3%vs his norm —

595 / 50 PA

Chase %25.2%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−3.3%vs his norm —

595 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 14.3%→14.7%signal1 HR — Barrel% 14.3% (signal) lifted to career ~15.4% → projected 14.7%.

BABIP 0.290→0.275 regressednoise.225 AVG — BABIP 0.290 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.263 (xBA 0.267) → 0.275.

on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~43 projected PA.

slugging + lineup8 RBI — his RBI rate over ~43 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (2 in 54 G) over ~43 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons