Rest of Season Projection
BenCategorySal
20HR ←18
70R ←52
70RBI ←56
3SB →15
.270AVG ←.255
Current Season
BenCategorySal
17HR ←12
44R ←34
44RBI ←37
2SB →10
.306AVG ←.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Sal Stewart
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.367, +0.052 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ben Rice projects for 20 HR / 70 R against Sal Stewart's 18 HR / 52 R. However, Stewart's 15 SB versus Rice's 3 SB changes the value calculus. Sell-high window on Rice; acquire Stewart.