Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryJonathan
20HR ←16
71R ←53
71RBI ←67
3SB ←0
.269AVG ←.257
Current Season
BenCategoryJonathan
17HR ←11
44R ←34
44RBI ←43
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.283
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.409 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Jonathan Aranda
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.387, +0.072 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Rice leads in HR (20 vs 16) and AVG (.269 vs .257); Aranda's buy verdict contrasts with Rice's sell-high window.