Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryIldemaro
20HR ←5
70R ←49
70RBI ←61
3SB ←2
.270AVG →.277
Current Season
BenCategoryIldemaro
17HR ←7
44R ←30
44RBI ←37
2SB ←1
.306AVG ←.291
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Ildemaro Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.320)
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Ildemaro Vargas: 5 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).