Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryEugenio
20HR ←11
70R ←30
70RBI ←34
3SB ←0
.270AVG ←.205
Current Season
BenCategoryEugenio
17HR ←4
44R ←13
44RBI ←15
2SB ←0
.306AVG ←.227
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Eugenio Suárez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.289)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ben Rice: 20 HR / 70 R. Eugenio Suárez: 11 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).