MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Eugenio Suárez
498 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Eugenio Suárez

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.303); strikeout rate 34% is stable and high, caps the floor; a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Suárez is a hold — league-average skill, power without a stable floor.

His expected wOBA is .303, .012 below the league average of .315, and with 498 plate appearances the sample is long past the point where that number becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .324, slightly above it, so the surface is a touch better than the skill underneath. The contact is uneven in both directions: a 12.3% barrel rate is well above the 8.0% league average, but his hard-hit rate of 36.2% and 88.5 mph average exit velocity both sit below league. The power is real; the volume of hard contact is not. The number that caps him is a 33.9% strikeout rate, stable with 498 plate appearances and trending up, and that keeps his floor low while the trajectory of his expected production is stepping down. There is no luck stat pulling the line either way. Hold. 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG makes him a drop-tier drag — hold only as waiver-wire fringe, not an asset.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %12.3%—−0.6% ▼vs his ~12.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.5 mph
88.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.5 mphvs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.2%
36.2%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.8%vs his norm —
268 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.3%
norm12.3%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm −0.6% ▼
268 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.303
believable since Jun 11.303*
lg avg .315 ▼−.012vs his norm —
498 / 160 PA
wOBA.324
.324*
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —
498 / 200 PA
Strikeout %33.9%
33.9%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.9%vs his norm —
498 / 60 PA
Walk %10.4%
10.4%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
498 / 120 PA
BABIP.273
norm.273*
lg avg .295 ▼−.022vs his norm −.005 ▼BABIP is below his ~.278 norm — expect it to rise.
268 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.6%
15.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —
498 / 50 PA
Chase %28.5%
28.5%*
lg avg 28.5% 0.0%vs his norm —
498 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 12.3%→12.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 12.3% (signal) lifted to career ~12.9% → projected 12.6%.
BABIP 0.273→0.260 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.273 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.253 (xBA 0.201) → 0.260.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 34 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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