CIN

14.4 barrels while striking out just 19.5%.

xwOBA .371 with 13% barrel rate — buy the skill.

xERA 4.77, ERA 6.9 — 2+ run gap deserves buy.

BABIP 80 points below league; exit velo and barrels back it.

xwOBA .032 above wOBA — unlucky, but 30% Ks linger.

3.62 ERA vs 4.71 xERA — due for a 1-run climb.

xERA 2.89 but .230 BABIP against — regression gap.

ERA 5.21 hides a 6.6 xERA; 0.25 BABIP masks it.

BABIP .217 sinks xERA 3.25 back to reality.

xwOBA .266 vs wOBA .321 — a 55-point mirage.

xERA 6.47, K% 15.1 — no swing-and-miss at all.

xERA 4.97 yet 4.02 ERA; 15.5% K rate sinks him.

2.5% barrel rate — near-zero impact when he connects.