MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
156 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Jose Trevino

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.222); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Trevino is a hold — no edge either way in a thin sample.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .138 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %2.4%—−1.9% ▼vs his ~4.3% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.222)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.8 mph
85.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.2 mphvs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %29.4%
29.4%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.6%vs his norm —
126 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.4%
norm2.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.6%vs his norm −1.9% ▼
126 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.222
.222*
lg avg .315 ▼−.093vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 160 PA
wOBA.240
.240*
lg avg .315 ▼−.075vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
156 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.6%
18.6%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
156 / 60 PA
Walk %0.6%
0.6%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−7.9%vs his norm —
156 / 120 PA
BABIP.235
norm.235*
lg avg .295 ▼−.060vs his norm −.006 ▼BABIP is below his ~.241 norm — expect it to rise.
126 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.7%
10.7%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —
156 / 50 PA
Chase %37.6%
37.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+9.1%vs his norm —
156 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 2.4%→3.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 2.4% (signal) lifted to career ~4.3% → projected 3.6%.
BABIP 0.235→0.250 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.235 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.252 (xBA 0.213) → 0.250.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 14 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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