week 18
this weekHOLD
last week—
Jose Franco
data as of July 29, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.44); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 18ERA 3.71WHIP 1.24W 1–2SV 0
Franco is a hold — league-average stuff, limited data.
ROS projects K 15 YTD → 18 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.44)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed34.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.4%vs his norm —
52 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed11.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
52 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.354
lg avg .315 ▲+.039vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 200 TBF
xERA5.44
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.34vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 200 TBF
ERA5.40
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.30vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
16.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %16.5%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.5%vs his norm —
79 / 70 TBF
Walk %17.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+9.7%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.306
lg avg .295 ▲+.011vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
52 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.7%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —
79 / 60 TBF
Chase %24.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.4%vs his norm —
79 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.1 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.1 mphvs his norm —
300 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 16.5%→18.0%signal18 K — K% 16.5% (signal) lifted to RP mean ~24.0% → projected 18.0% over ~23 remaining IP.
xERA 5.44noise3.71 ERA — xERA 5.44 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 20 IP.
BB% 17.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 18% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.93 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.