108 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Edwin Arroyo
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.309); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .111R 19RBI 0SB 0
Arroyo is a hold — limited data, no edge yet.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .143 YTD → .111 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.309)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.3 mphvs his norm —
79 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %24.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.9%vs his norm —
79 / 50 BBE
Barrel %1.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.7%vs his norm —
79 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.309
lg avg .315 ▼−.006vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 160 PA
wOBA.257
lg avg .315 ▼−.058vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%vs his norm —
108 / 60 PA
Walk %2.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.7%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
108 / 120 PA
BABIP.308
lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
79 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
108 / 50 PA
Chase %40.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+12.4%vs his norm —
108 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 1.3%→2.6%signal1 HR — Barrel% 1.3% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 2.6%.
BABIP 0.308→0.373 regressednoise.111 AVG — BABIP 0.308 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.294) → 0.373.
on-base + lineup19 R — his run rate over ~135 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~135 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 2 G) over ~135 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.