Andrew Abbott
Abbott is a sell — his xERA is rising and the skills back it up
His expected ERA is 4.92, more than eight-tenths of a run above the league average of 4.10, and it has been climbing across the sample. There is no luck story to point to here. He strikes out 18% of batters, four points below league, and walks 10.4%, more than two points above it. His swinging-strike rate sits at 10.3%, a tick under league, so the strikeout gap tracks his stuff rather than a cold stretch. He allows a .338 expected wOBA, .023 above league, with a barrel rate near average and hard contact slightly below it — nothing here suppresses runs. The fastball averages 92.4 mph, well under league. The picture is a pitcher whose contact and command both point the same direction, and neither is flattered by the surface. Sell. 0 K and a 4.63 ERA rest of season — drop, this is waiver-wire fodder, not a stash.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %18.0%—−3.3% ▼vs his ~21.3% career norm
- Walk %10.4%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~8.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.92 +0.82 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.