Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryTyler
70K →94
4.50ERA →4.05
1.44WHIP →1.38
4–8W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryTyler
42K →57
4.02ERA ←6.04
1.44WHIP ←1.54
4W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.71 +0.61 vs league with no luck excuse
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Andrew Abbott: 71 K / 4.49 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).