Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJacob
81K →163
4.61ERA →2.19
1.46WHIP →0.98
4–9W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJacob
42K →108
4.02ERA →1.65
1.44WHIP →0.79
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).