227 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Spencer Steer
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Steer is a buy — contact quality and xwOBA align.
His expected wOBA is .371 — .056 above league average — and he has 227 plate appearances, well past the point where xwOBA becomes reliable. His actual wOBA is .347, tracking close enough that no luck is inflating the line. The contact quality supports it: his barrel rate is 12.8%, nearly 5 points above league, and his average exit velocity sits at 90 mph, a tick above average. His hard-hit rate, while slightly below league at 39.1%, has the sample size to trust. Interestingly, his hard-hit rate has been trending down while his xwOBA is climbing, suggesting he is doing more damage when he does square it up. A 20.7% strikeout rate and 9.3% walk rate are both better than league, rounding out a profile that is stable and skilled. Buy.
Buy
med0.71
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.0 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL156 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL156 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL156 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.371
lg avg .315 ▲+.056trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL227 / 160 PA
wOBA.347
lg avg .315 ▲+.032trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL227 / 200 PA
Strikeout %20.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL227 / 60 PA
Walk %9.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL227 / 120 PA
BABIP.322
lg avg .295 ▲+.027too early to trust
NOISE156 / 800 BIP