Rest of Season Projection
RandalCategorySpencer
9HR →11
39R →50
45RBI ←31
0SB →4
.293AVG ←.266
Current Season
RandalCategorySpencer
4HR →7
13R →34
15RBI →21
0SB →3
.250AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Randal Grichuk
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.382)
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.373, +0.058 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Randal Grichuk: 9 HR / 39 R. Spencer Steer: 11 HR / 50 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).