MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
144 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Héctor Rodríguez

data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.256); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Rodríguez is a hold — nothing here moves the needle either way.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.256)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.3 mph
88.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.7 mphvs his norm —
97 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.1%
35.1%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —
97 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.2%
7.2%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−0.8%vs his norm —
97 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.256
.256*
lg avg .315 ▼−.059vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
144 / 160 PA
wOBA.294
.294*
lg avg .315 ▼−.021vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
144 / 200 PA
Strikeout %27.1%
27.1%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
144 / 60 PA
Walk %4.9%
4.9%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
144 / 120 PA
BABIP.275
.275*
lg avg .295 ▼−.020vs his norm —BABIP is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
97 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.5%
15.5%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —
144 / 50 PA
Chase %42.9%
42.9%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+14.4%vs his norm —
144 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.2%→7.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 7.2% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 7.4%.
BABIP 0.275→0.235 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.275 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.230 (xBA 0.201) → 0.235.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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