107 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Juan Brito
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.297); BABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Brito is a hold — league average, nothing unstable either way.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .176 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.297)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.315 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.3 mphvs his norm —
76 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %32.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —
76 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —
76 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.297
lg avg .315 ▼−.018vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
107 / 160 PA
wOBA.316
lg avg .315 ▲+.001vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
107 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
107 / 60 PA
Walk %5.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.9%vs his norm —Walk % is below the ~8.5% league average — expect it to rise.
107 / 120 PA
BABIP.315
lg avg .295 ▲+.020vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
76 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
107 / 50 PA
Chase %32.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.8%vs his norm —
107 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.6%→6.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.6% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 6.9%.
BABIP 0.315→0.351 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.315 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.355 (xBA 0.247) → 0.351.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 15 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.