Noelvi Marte
Marte is a sell — the bat is below league and there's no luck to blame.
His expected wOBA is .237, .078 below the league average of .315, and with 201 plate appearances, that number is past the point where it becomes reliable. It is not being dragged down by bad bounces either — his actual wOBA is .242, tracking right with it, so there is no unlucky gap waiting to close. The contact quality backs up the low number: 87.9 mph average exit velocity against 89.0 league, a 30.2% hard-hit rate against 40%, and a 5% barrel rate against 8%, all on 139 batted balls, well past the stabilization point. He also chases 41.2% of pitches outside the zone against a 28.5% league average and swings through 14.3%, so the at-bats are not generating better contact. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. This is the level. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG ROS line makes him streaming-only — use the window to drop.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %5.0%—−3.0% ▼vs his ~8.0% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.237 below league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
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