MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
137 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Noelvi Marte

data as of July 19, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.265); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .204R 8RBI 0SB 4

Marte is a hold — league average, limited data to judge.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .138 YTD → .204 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.5%−1.5%vs his ~8.0% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.265)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.1 mph
88.1 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.9 mphvs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %30.1%
30.1%*
lg avg 40.0% −9.9%vs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.5%
norm6.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.5%vs his norm −1.5%
93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.265
.265*
lg avg .315 −.050vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
137 / 160 PA
wOBA.272
.272*
lg avg .315 −.043vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
137 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.5%
25.5%*
lg avg 22.0% +3.5%vs his norm —
137 / 60 PA
Walk %6.6%
6.6%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.9%vs his norm —
137 / 120 PA
BABIP.218
norm.218*
lg avg .295 −.077vs his norm −.099 BABIP is below his ~.317 normexpect it to rise.
93 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
12.8%*
lg avg 11.0% +1.9%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA
Chase %36.9%
36.9%*
lg avg 28.5% +8.4%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.5%→7.5%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) lifted to career ~8.0% → projected 7.5%.
BABIP 0.218→0.288 regressednoise.204 AVG — BABIP 0.218 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.204) → 0.288.
on-base + lineup8 R — his run rate over ~126 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~126 projected PA.
run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (1 in 12 G) over ~126 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups